دورية أكاديمية
Temporal trends and projections of gynecological cancers in China, 2007–2030
| العنوان: | Temporal trends and projections of gynecological cancers in China, 2007–2030 |
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| المؤلفون: | Rufei Duan, Hongping Zhang, Jing Yu, Sisi Deng, Haijun Yang, Yong-Tang Zheng, Yunchao Huang, Fanghui Zhao, Hongying Yang |
| المصدر: | BMC Women's Health, Vol 23, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2023) |
| بيانات النشر: | BMC, 2023. |
| سنة النشر: | 2023 |
| المجموعة: | LCC:Gynecology and obstetrics LCC:Public aspects of medicine |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Gynecological cancer, Temporal trend, AAPC, Projection, China, Gynecology and obstetrics, RG1-991, Public aspects of medicine, RA1-1270 |
| الوصف: | Abstract Background Gynecological cancer will become a more important public health problem in future years but limited evidence on gynecological cancer burden in China. Methods We extracted age-specific rate of cancer cases and deaths during 2007–2016 from the Chinese Cancer Registry Annual Report, and estimated age-specific population size using the data released by National Bureau of Statistics of China. Cancer burden were calculated by multiplying the rates with the population size. Temporal trends of the cancer cases, incidence, deaths, and mortality during 2007–2016 were calculated by JoinPoint Regression Program, and from 2017 to 2030 were projected by grey prediction model GM (1,1). Results In China, total gynecological cancer cases increased from 177,839 to 241,800, with the average annual percentage change of 3.5% (95% CI: 2.7–4.3%) during 2007–2016. Cervical, uterine, ovarian, vulva, and other gynecological cancer cases increased by 4.1% (95% CI: 3.3–4.9%), 3.3% (95% CI: 2.6–4.1%), 2.4% (95% CI: 1.4–3.5%), 4.4% (95% CI: 2.5–6.4%), and 3.6% (95% CI: 1.4–5.9%) respectively. From 2017 to 2030, projected gynecological cancer cases are changing from 246,581 to 408,314. Cervical, vulva and vaginal cancers showed evident upward trend, while uterine and ovarian cancer cases are slightly increasing. The increases for age-standardized incidence rates were similar with that of cancer cases. Temporal trends of cancer deaths and mortality were similar with that of cancer cases and incidence during 2007–2030, except that uterine cancer deaths and mortality were declined. Conclusions With the aging of population and other increased risk factors, the burden of gynecological cancers in China is likely to be grew rapidly in the future, comprehensive gynecological cancer control should be concerned. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article |
| وصف الملف: | electronic resource |
| اللغة: | English |
| تدمد: | 1472-6874 |
| العلاقة: | https://doaj.org/toc/1472-6874Test |
| DOI: | 10.1186/s12905-023-02384-2 |
| الوصول الحر: | https://doaj.org/article/91d68785b36246dcae8c1033da086e0eTest |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsdoj.91d68785b36246dcae8c1033da086e0e |
| قاعدة البيانات: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
Full Text Finder | تدمد: | 14726874 |
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| DOI: | 10.1186/s12905-023-02384-2 |