دورية أكاديمية

Computing R0 of dynamic models by a definition-based method

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Computing R0 of dynamic models by a definition-based method
المؤلفون: Xiaohao Guo, Yichao Guo, Zeyu Zhao, Shiting Yang, Yanhua Su, Benhua Zhao, Tianmu Chen
المصدر: Infectious Disease Modelling, Vol 7, Iss 2, Pp 196-210 (2022)
بيانات النشر: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd., 2022.
سنة النشر: 2022
المجموعة: LCC:Infectious and parasitic diseases
مصطلحات موضوعية: Definition-based method, Dynamics model, Basic reproduction number, Next-generation method, Infectious and parasitic diseases, RC109-216
الوصف: Objectives: Computing the basic reproduction number (R0) in deterministic dynamical models is a hot topic and is frequently demanded by researchers in public health. The next-generation methods (NGM) are widely used for such computation, however, the results of NGM are usually not to be the true R0 but only a threshold quantity with little interpretation. In this paper, a definition-based method (DBM) is proposed to solve such a problem. Methods: Start with the definition of R0, consider different states that one infected individual may develop into, and take expectations. A comparison with NGM has proceeded. Numerical verification is performed using parameters fitted by data of COVID-19 in Hunan Province. Results: DBM and NGM give identical expressions for single-host models with single-group and interactive Rij of single-host models with multi-groups, while difference arises for models partitioned into subgroups. Numerical verification showed the consistencies and differences between DBM and NGM, which supports the conclusion that R0 derived by DBM with true epidemiological interpretations are better. Conclusions: DBM is more suitable for single-host models, especially for models partitioned into subgroups. However, for multi-host dynamic models where the true R0 is failed to define, we may turn to the NGM for the threshold R0.
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: electronic resource
اللغة: English
تدمد: 2468-0427
العلاقة: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2468042722000288Test; https://doaj.org/toc/2468-0427Test
DOI: 10.1016/j.idm.2022.05.004
الوصول الحر: https://doaj.org/article/148a34e0c01746d6884931435b589beaTest
رقم الانضمام: edsdoj.148a34e0c01746d6884931435b589bea
قاعدة البيانات: Directory of Open Access Journals
الوصف
تدمد:24680427
DOI:10.1016/j.idm.2022.05.004