Tacrolimus is the principal immunosuppressive drug which is administered after heart transplantation. Managing tacrolimus therapy is challenging due to a narrow therapeutic index and wide pharmacokinetic (PK) variability. We aimed to establish a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model of tacrolimus in adult heart transplant recipients to optimize dose regimens in clinical practice. A 15-compartment full-PBPK model (Simbiology® Simulator, version 5.8.2) was developed using clinical observations from 115 heart transplant recipients. This study detected 20 genotypes associated with tacrolimus metabolism. CYP3A5*3 (rs776746), CYP3A4*18B (rs2242480), and IL-10 G-1082A (rs1800896) were identified as significant genetic covariates in tacrolimus pharmacokinetics. The PBPK model was evaluated using goodness-of-fit (GOF) and external evaluation. The predicted peak blood concentration (Cmax) and area under the drug concentration–time curve (AUC) were all within a two-fold value of the observations (fold error of 0.68–1.22 for Cmax and 0.72–1.16 for AUC). The patients with the CYP3A5*3/*3 genotype had a 1.60-fold increase in predicted AUC compared to the patients with the CYP3A5*1 allele, and the ratio of the AUC with voriconazole to alone was 5.80 when using the PBPK model. Based on the simulation results, the tacrolimus dosing regimen after heart transplantation was optimized. This is the first PBPK model used to predict the PK of tacrolimus in adult heart transplant recipients, and it can serve as a starting point for research on immunosuppressive drug therapy in heart transplant patients.
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