دورية أكاديمية
Transmission of the Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Virus H5N1 within Flocks during the 2004 Epidemic in Thailand
| العنوان: | Transmission of the Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Virus H5N1 within Flocks during the 2004 Epidemic in Thailand |
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| المؤلفون: | Tiensin, Thanawat, Nielen, Mirjam, Vernooij, Hans, Songserm, Thaweesak, Kalpravidh, Wantanee, Chotiprasatintara, Sirikan, Chaisingh, Arunee, Wongkasemjit, Surapong, Chanachai, Karoon, Thanapongtham, Weerapong, Srisuvan, Thinnarat, Stegeman, Arjan |
| بيانات النشر: | Oxford University Press |
| سنة النشر: | 2007 |
| المجموعة: | HighWire Press (Stanford University) |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Global Theme Issue: Poverty and Human Development |
| الوصف: | This present study is the first to quantify the transmission of avian influenza virus H5N1 within flocks during the 2004 epidemic in Thailand. It uses the flock-level mortality data to estimate the transmission-rate parameter (β) and the basic reproduction number ( R 0 ). The point estimates of β varied from 2.26/day (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.01–2.55) for a 1-day infectious period to 0.66/day (95% CI, 0.50–0.87) for a 4-day infectious period, whereas the accompanying R 0 varied from 2.26 (95% CI, 2.01–2.55) to 2.64 (95% CI, 2.02–3.47). Although thepoint estimates of β of backyard chickens and fighting cocks raised together were lower than those of laying hens and broiler chickens, this difference was not statistically significant. These results will enable us to assess the control measures in simulation studies. They also indicate that, for the elimination of the virus, a critical proportion ofthe susceptible poultry population in a flock (i.e., 80% of the population) needs to be vaccinated. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | text |
| وصف الملف: | text/html |
| اللغة: | English |
| العلاقة: | http://jid.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/196/11/1679Test; http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/522007Test |
| DOI: | 10.1086/522007 |
| الإتاحة: | https://doi.org/10.1086/522007Test http://jid.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/196/11/1679Test |
| حقوق: | Copyright (C) 2007, Infectious Diseases Society of America |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsbas.FF5A3CD0 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | BASE |
| DOI: | 10.1086/522007 |
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