Extreme climatic events to intensify over the Lake Victoria Basin under global warming

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان:	Extreme climatic events to intensify over the Lake Victoria Basin under global warming
المؤلفون:	Ogega, Obed M., Scoccimarro, Enrico, Misiani, Herbert, Mbugua, James
المساهمون:	European Commission
المصدر:	Scientific Reports ; volume 13, issue 1 ; ISSN 2045-2322
بيانات النشر:	Springer Science and Business Media LLC
سنة النشر:	2023
مصطلحات موضوعية:	Multidisciplinary
الوصف:	This paper presents an analysis of future precipitation patterns over the Lake Victoria Basin, East Africa, using bias-corrected CMIP6 model projections. A mean increase of about 5% in mean annual (ANN) and seasonal [March–May (MAM), June–August (JJA), and October–December (OND)] precipitation climatology is expected over the domain by mid-century (2040–2069). The changes intensify towards the end of the century (2070–2099) with an increase in mean precipitation of about 16% (ANN), 10% (MAM), and 18% (OND) expected, relative to the 1985–2014 baseline period. Additionally, the mean daily precipitation intensity (SDII), the maximum 5-day precipitation values (RX5Day), and the heavy precipitation events—represented by the width of the right tail distribution of precipitation (99p–90p)—show an increase of 16%, 29%, and 47%, respectively, by the end of the century. The projected changes have a substantial implication for the region—which is already experiencing conflicts over water and water-related resources.
نوع الوثيقة:	article in journal/newspaper
اللغة:	English
DOI:	10.1038/s41598-023-36756-3
الإتاحة:	https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-36756-3Test https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-36756-3.pdfTest https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-36756-3Test
حقوق:	https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0Test ; https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0Test
رقم الانضمام:	edsbas.B9582050
قاعدة البيانات:	BASE

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الوصف
DOI:	10.1038/s41598-023-36756-3