دورية أكاديمية

SARS-CoV-2 PCR cycle threshold at hospital admission associated with patient mortality

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: SARS-CoV-2 PCR cycle threshold at hospital admission associated with patient mortality
المؤلفون: Choudhuri, Jui, Carter, Jamal, Nelson, Randin, Skalina, Karin, Osterbur-Badhey, Marika, Johnston, Andrew, Goldstein, Doctor, Paroder, Monika, Szymanski, James
المساهمون: Kou, Yu Ru
المصدر: PLOS ONE ; volume 15, issue 12, page e0244777 ; ISSN 1932-6203
بيانات النشر: Public Library of Science (PLoS)
سنة النشر: 2020
المجموعة: PLOS Publications (via CrossRef)
الوصف: Background Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) cycle threshold (Ct) has been suggested as an approximate measure of initial viral burden. The utility of cycle threshold, at admission, as a predictor of disease severity has not been thoroughly investigated. Methods and findings We conducted a retrospective study of SARS-CoV-2 positive, hospitalized patients from 3/26/2020 to 8/5/2020 who had SARS-CoV-2 Ct data within 48 hours of admission (n = 1044). Only patients with complete survival data, discharged (n = 774) or died in hospital (n = 270), were included in our analysis. Laboratory, demographic, and clinical data were extracted from electronic medical records. Multivariable logistic regression was applied to examine the relationship of patient mortality with Ct values while adjusting for established risk factors. Ct was analyzed as continuous variable and subdivided into quartiles to better illustrate its relationship with outcome. Cumulative incidence curves were created to assess whether there was a survival difference in the setting of the competing risks of death versus patient discharge. Mean Ct at admission was higher for survivors (28.6, SD = 5.8) compared to non-survivors (24.8, SD = 6.0, P<0.001). In-hospital mortality significantly differed (p<0.05) by Ct quartile. After adjusting for age, gender, BMI, hypertension and diabetes, increased cycle threshold was associated with decreased odds of in-hospital mortality (0.91, CI 0.89–0.94, p<0.001). Compared to the 4 th Quartile, patients with Ct values in the 1st Quartile (Ct <22.9) and 2nd Quartile (Ct 23.0–27.3) had an adjusted odds ratio of in-hospital mortality of 3.8 and 2.6 respectively (p<0.001). The discriminative ability of Ct to predict inpatient mortality was found to be limited, possessing an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.68 (CI 0.63–0.71). Conclusion SARS-CoV-2 Ct was found to be an independent predictor of patient mortality. However, further study is needed on how to best clinically utilize such ...
نوع الوثيقة: article in journal/newspaper
اللغة: English
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0244777
الإتاحة: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0244777Test
حقوق: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0Test/
رقم الانضمام: edsbas.A1589259
قاعدة البيانات: BASE