On the Probability of Immunity

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: On the Probability of Immunity
المؤلفون: Peña, Jose M.
سنة النشر: 2023
المجموعة: Computer Science
Mathematics
Statistics
مصطلحات موضوعية: Statistics - Methodology, Computer Science - Machine Learning, Mathematics - Probability, Statistics - Machine Learning
الوصف: This work is devoted to the study of the probability of immunity, i.e. the effect occurs whether exposed or not. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions for non-immunity and $\epsilon$-bounded immunity, i.e. the probability of immunity is zero and $\epsilon$-bounded, respectively. The former allows us to estimate the probability of benefit (i.e., the effect occurs if and only if exposed) from a randomized controlled trial, and the latter allows us to produce bounds of the probability of benefit that are tighter than the existing ones. We also introduce the concept of indirect immunity (i.e., through a mediator) and repeat our previous analysis for it. Finally, we propose a method for sensitivity analysis of the probability of immunity under unmeasured confounding.
نوع الوثيقة: Working Paper
الوصول الحر: http://arxiv.org/abs/2309.11942Test
رقم الانضمام: edsarx.2309.11942
قاعدة البيانات: arXiv