Short-term wind power prediction based on data mining technology and improved support vector machine method: A case study in Northwest China

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Short-term wind power prediction based on data mining technology and improved support vector machine method: A case study in Northwest China
المؤلفون: Shuaishuai Lin, Cunbin Li, Jicheng Liu, Ding Liu, Fangqiu Xu
المصدر: Journal of Cleaner Production. 205:909-922
بيانات النشر: Elsevier BV, 2018.
سنة النشر: 2018
مصطلحات موضوعية: Wind power, Mean squared error, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, Computer science, business.industry, 020209 energy, Strategy and Management, Wavelet transform, 02 engineering and technology, 010501 environmental sciences, computer.software_genre, 01 natural sciences, Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering, Wind speed, Support vector machine, Mean absolute percentage error, 0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering, Data mining, Cuckoo search, business, computer, Physics::Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, Randomness, 0105 earth and related environmental sciences, General Environmental Science
الوصف: In recent years, wind power industry has been developing rapidly as the wind resources are clean, cheap and inexhaustible. However, it is difficult to supply steady wind power generation due to the strong randomness, volatility and uncontrollability of wind energy. Therefore, it is significant to propose an efficient wind power prediction model. In this paper, a short-term wind power prediction model is proposed based on data mining technology and improved support vector machine method. In this model, data mining is employed to investigate the relationship between wind speed and wind power output and then modify the invalid original data. Then, based on wavelet transform method, the high frequency parts of the original signal can be eliminated. Next, cuckoo search algorithm is used to optimize kernel function and penalty factor of support vector machine in order to improve the accuracy of the forecast result. Finally, a wind farm located in the Northwest China is selected to perform the case study. The results indicate that the proposed model has the best performance according to the values of several error assessment indexes, including mean absolute error, mean squared error and mean absolute percentage error.
تدمد: 0959-6526
الوصول الحر: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::a34bcc4234afcbf6fa16475f639ca1bcTest
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.09.143Test
حقوق: CLOSED
رقم الانضمام: edsair.doi...........a34bcc4234afcbf6fa16475f639ca1bc
قاعدة البيانات: OpenAIRE