التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
| العنوان: |
ANALISIS POTENSI ENERGI MATAHARI MENJADI ENERGI LISTRIK DI INDONESIA: PROYEKSI DAN PERAMALAN KAPASITAS TERPASANG PLTS DENGAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING |
| المؤلفون: |
Timotius, Hizkia, Welman Simatupang, Joni, Andriani, Mutiara, Situmeang, Praja, Ramos SM, Indra, Fauzi, Muamar |
| المصدر: |
TESLA: Jurnal Teknik Elektro; Vol. 25 No. 2 (2023): TESLA: Jurnal Teknik Elektro; 183-195 ; TESLA: Jurnal Teknik Elektro; Vol 25 No 2 (2023): TESLA: Jurnal Teknik Elektro; 183-195 ; 2655-7967 ; 1410-9735 |
| بيانات النشر: |
Universitas Tarumanagara |
| سنة النشر: |
2023 |
| المجموعة: |
E-Journal Universitas Tarumanagara |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: |
Solar energy potential, Solar Photovoltaic Power Plants, Forecasting methods, Double exponential smoothing, Renewable energy projection |
| الوصف: |
This study endeavors to assess the progression in the installed capacity of Solar Power Plants (PLTS) in Indonesia, given that the obtained data indicates a solar energy potential of 207,898 MW in the country. However, the installed capacity of Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Power Plants (PLTS) is still low compared to other types of power plants. In the projection for the National Electricity Supply Business Plan (RUPTL) 2021-2030, it is expected that the installed capacity of PLTS will increase to 4.7 GWp by 2030, but this is still far from the target projection of 800-840 GWp by 2050 according to IRENA. Through forecasting using three methods, namely moving average, single exponential smoothing, and double exponential smoothing, the projected installed capacity for the year 2050 significantly deviates from IRENA's projection. Historical data of installed capacity of PLTS from 2010 to 2022 was used as the basis for the forecasting. The results of the three forecasting methods were compared to assess their accuracy and performance in predicting the installed capacity of PLTS in the future years. This study suggests using the double exponential smoothing method as a feasible forecasting technique and emphasizes the need for further research on inhibiting factors and support from various stakeholders to successfully utilize solar energy as a source of electricity in Indonesia. The findings of this research provide guidance for the planning and development of PLTS in the future, as well as important implications for achieving the national renewable energy projection targets. ABSTRAK: Studi ini berupaya untuk menilai perkembangan kapasitas terpasang Pembangkit Listrik Tenaga Surya (PLTS) di Indonesia mengingat data yang diperoleh menunjukkan potensi energi surya sebesar 207.898 MW di Indonesia. Namun, kapasitas terpasang Pembangkit Listrik Tenaga Surya (PLTS) masih rendah dibandingkan jenis pembangkit lainnya. Dalam proyeksi RUPTL 2021-2030, diharapkan kapasitas terpasang PLTS meningkat menjadi 4,7 GWp pada tahun 2030, ... |
| نوع الوثيقة: |
article in journal/newspaper |
| وصف الملف: |
application/pdf |
| اللغة: |
English |
| العلاقة: |
https://journal.untar.ac.id/index.php/tesla/article/view/25831/16544Test; https://journal.untar.ac.id/index.php/tesla/article/view/25831Test |
| الإتاحة: |
https://journal.untar.ac.id/index.php/tesla/article/view/25831Test |
| حقوق: |
Copyright (c) 2023 TESLA: Jurnal Teknik Elektro ; https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0Test |
| رقم الانضمام: |
edsbas.865E8BCF |
| قاعدة البيانات: |
BASE |
