دورية أكاديمية

An investment case for the prevention and management of rheumatic heart disease in the African Union 2021–30: a modelling study

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: An investment case for the prevention and management of rheumatic heart disease in the African Union 2021–30: a modelling study
المؤلفون: Matthew M Coates, MPH, Karen Sliwa, ProfMD, David A Watkins, MD, Liesl Zühlke, ProfPhD, Pablo Perel, ProfPhD, Florence Berteletti, MA, Jean-Luc Eiselé, PhD, Sheila L Klassen, MD, Gene F Kwan, MD, Ana O Mocumbi, MD, Dorairaj Prabhakaran, ProfMD, Mahlet Kifle Habtemariam, MD, Gene Bukhman, MD
المصدر: The Lancet Global Health, Vol 9, Iss 7, Pp e957-e966 (2021)
بيانات النشر: Elsevier, 2021.
سنة النشر: 2021
المجموعة: LCC:Public aspects of medicine
مصطلحات موضوعية: Public aspects of medicine, RA1-1270
الوصف: Summary: Background: Despite declines in deaths from rheumatic heart disease (RHD) in Africa over the past 30 years, it remains a major cause of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality on the continent. We present an investment case for interventions to prevent and manage RHD in the African Union (AU). Methods: We created a cohort state-transition model to estimate key outcomes in the disease process, including cases of pharyngitis from group A streptococcus, episodes of acute rheumatic fever (ARF), cases of RHD, heart failure, and deaths. With this model, we estimated the impact of scaling up interventions using estimates of effect sizes from published studies. We estimated the cost to scale up coverage of interventions and summarised the benefits by monetising health gains estimated in the model using a full income approach. Costs and benefits were compared using the benefit–cost ratio and the net benefits with discounted costs and benefits. Findings: Operationally achievable levels of scale-up of interventions along the disease spectrum, including primary prevention, secondary prevention, platforms for management of heart failure, and heart valve surgery could avert 74 000 (UI 50 000–104 000) deaths from RHD and ARF from 2021 to 2030 in the AU, reaching a 30·7% (21·6–39·0) reduction in the age-standardised death rate from RHD in 2030, compared with no increase in coverage of interventions. The estimated benefit–cost ratio for plausible scale-up of secondary prevention and secondary and tertiary care interventions was 4·7 (2·9–6·3) with a net benefit of $2·8 billion (1·6–3·9; 2019 US$) through 2030. The estimated benefit–cost ratio for primary prevention scale-up was low to 2030 (0·2,
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: electronic resource
اللغة: English
تدمد: 2214-109X
العلاقة: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214109X21001996Test; https://doaj.org/toc/2214-109XTest
DOI: 10.1016/S2214-109X(21)00199-6
الوصول الحر: https://doaj.org/article/85c6310c19c64c5e945f1c5a0f6cd196Test
رقم الانضمام: edsdoj.85c6310c19c64c5e945f1c5a0f6cd196
قاعدة البيانات: Directory of Open Access Journals
الوصف
تدمد:2214109X
DOI:10.1016/S2214-109X(21)00199-6