دورية أكاديمية

Trends of the COVID-19 dynamics in 2022 and 2023 vs. the population age, testing and vaccination levels

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Trends of the COVID-19 dynamics in 2022 and 2023 vs. the population age, testing and vaccination levels
المؤلفون: Igor Nesteruk
المصدر: Frontiers in Big Data, Vol 6 (2024)
بيانات النشر: Frontiers Media S.A., 2024.
سنة النشر: 2024
المجموعة: LCC:Information technology
مصطلحات موضوعية: COVID-19 pandemic dynamics, daily numbers of cases and deaths per capita, case fatality risk, mathematical modeling of infection diseases, statistical methods, Information technology, T58.5-58.64
الوصف: IntroductionThe population, governments, and researchers show much less interest in the COVID-19 pandemic. However, many questions still need to be answered: why the much less vaccinated African continent has accumulated 15 times less deaths per capita than Europe? or why in 2023 the global value of the case fatality risk is almost twice higher than in 2022 and the UK figure is four times higher than the global one?MethodsThe averaged daily numbers of cases DCC and death DDC per million, case fatality risks DDC/DCC were calculated for 34 countries and regions with the use of John Hopkins University (JHU) datasets. Possible linear and non-linear correlations with the averaged daily numbers of tests per thousand DTC, median age of population A, and percentages of vaccinations VC and boosters BC were investigated.ResultsStrong correlations between age and DCC and DDC values were revealed. One-year increment in the median age yielded 39.8 increase in DCC values and 0.0799 DDC increase in 2022 (in 2023 these figures are 5.8 and 0.0263, respectively). With decreasing of testing level DTC, the case fatality risk can increase drastically. DCC and DDC values increase with increasing the percentages of fully vaccinated people and boosters, which definitely increase for greater A. After removing the influence of age, no correlations between vaccinations and DCC and DDC values were revealed.DiscussionThe presented analysis demonstrates that age is a pivot factor of visible (registered) part of the COVID-19 pandemic dynamics. Much younger Africa has registered less numbers of cases and death per capita due to many unregistered asymptomatic patients. Of great concern is the fact that COVID-19 mortality in 2023 in the UK is still at least 4 times higher than the global value caused by seasonal flu.
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: electronic resource
اللغة: English
تدمد: 2624-909X
العلاقة: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fdata.2023.1355080/fullTest; https://doaj.org/toc/2624-909XTest
DOI: 10.3389/fdata.2023.1355080
الوصول الحر: https://doaj.org/article/6e00a69587aa4be2ab6e1afdb3f553b0Test
رقم الانضمام: edsdoj.6e00a69587aa4be2ab6e1afdb3f553b0
قاعدة البيانات: Directory of Open Access Journals
الوصف
تدمد:2624909X
DOI:10.3389/fdata.2023.1355080