دورية أكاديمية

Human mobility and poverty as key drivers of COVID-19 transmission and control

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Human mobility and poverty as key drivers of COVID-19 transmission and control
المؤلفون: Yechezkel, Matan, Weiss, Amit, Rejwan, Idan, Shahmoon, Edan, Ben-Gal, Shachaf, Yamin, Dan
المساهمون: Israel Science Foundation, The Zimin Institute for Engineering Solutions Advancing Better Lives
المصدر: BMC Public Health ; volume 21, issue 1 ; ISSN 1471-2458
بيانات النشر: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
سنة النشر: 2021
مصطلحات موضوعية: Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
الوصف: Background Applying heavy nationwide restrictions is a powerful method to curtail COVID-19 transmission but poses a significant humanitarian and economic crisis. Thus, it is essential to improve our understanding of COVID-19 transmission, and develop more focused and effective strategies. As human mobility drives transmission, data from cellphone devices can be utilized to achieve these goals. Methods We analyzed aggregated and anonymized mobility data from the cell phone devices of> 3 million users between February 1, 2020, to May 16, 2020 — in which several movement restrictions were applied and lifted in Israel. We integrated these mobility patterns into age-, risk- and region-structured transmission model. Calibrated to coronavirus incidence in 250 regions covering Israel, we evaluated the efficacy and effectiveness in decreasing morbidity and mortality of applying localized and temporal lockdowns (stay-at-home order). Results Poorer regions exhibited lower and slower compliance with the restrictions. Our transmission model further indicated that individuals from impoverished areas were associated with high transmission rates. Considering a horizon of 1–3 years, we found that to reduce COVID-19 mortality, school closure has an adverse effect, while interventions focusing on the elderly are the most efficient. We also found that applying localized and temporal lockdowns during regional outbreaks reduces the overall mortality and morbidity compared to nationwide lockdowns. These trends were consistent across vast ranges of epidemiological parameters, and potential seasonal forcing. Conclusions More resources should be devoted to helping impoverished regions. Utilizing cellphone data despite being anonymized and aggregated can help policymakers worldwide identify hotspots and apply designated strategies against future COVID-19 outbreaks.
نوع الوثيقة: article in journal/newspaper
اللغة: English
DOI: 10.1186/s12889-021-10561-x
DOI: 10.1186/s12889-021-10561-x.pdf
DOI: 10.1186/s12889-021-10561-x/fulltext.html
الإتاحة: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-021-10561-xTest
حقوق: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0Test/ ; http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0Test/
رقم الانضمام: edsbas.6B913E42
قاعدة البيانات: BASE