دورية أكاديمية

Modelling the Impact of Overnight Surprises on Intra-daily Volatility.

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Modelling the Impact of Overnight Surprises on Intra-daily Volatility.
المؤلفون: Gallo, Giampiero M.
المصدر: Australian Economic Papers. Dec2001, Vol. 40 Issue 4, p567. 14p.
مصطلحات موضوعية: Stocks (Finance), Interest rate futures
مصطلحات جغرافية: United States
مستخلص: In this paper we evaluate the impact that stock returns recorded between market closing and opening the next business day have on intra-daily volatility. A simple test shows that the estimated volatility clustering of the intra-daily returns may be affected by a market opening surprise bias. An extension of the standard GARCH model is suggested here to include the effect of this surprise and is applied on a sample of largely traded US stocks. The performance of two specifications in which this effect is included is evaluated in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise relative to their standard counterparts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
قاعدة البيانات: Finance Source
الوصف
تدمد:0004900X
DOI:10.1111/1467-8454.00142