Background The mechanism of IgA nephropathy (IgAN) progression remains ill-defined. In this prospective study, the prognostic role of clinical, histological and molecular markers over a 2-year follow-up was evaluated. Methods Fifty-one patients with biopsy-proven IgAN were followed for 24 months. Besides routine histology, the intrarenal gene expressions of cytokines and chemokines were quantified by reverse transcription quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction, and the presence of lymphocytes and macrophages were immunohistochemically examined. Results Higher transforming growth factor-β1 and severe chronic vasculopathy (but not glomerulosclerosis, interstitial fibrosis or lymphocyte infiltrate) were associated with the IgAN progression 24 months after biopsy. The gene expression of chemokine (C-C motif) ligands 2 and 5, hepatocyte growth factor, bone morphogenic protein-7 and transforming growth factor-β1 and the interstitial infiltrate of T and B lymphocytes and macrophages were significantly associated with serum creatinine and glomerular filtration rate at the time of biopsy. The intrarenal chemokine (C-C motif) ligand 2 and hepatocyte growth factor gene expression were associated with the proteinuria. Conclusions Besides the known risk factors for chronic kidney disease, advanced vasculopathy and molecular signatures of fibrogenesis were associated with the IgAN progression.
