Motivated beliefs in auctions

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Motivated beliefs in auctions
المؤلفون: Riehm, Tobias
بيانات النشر: ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung
سنة النشر: 2022
المجموعة: EconStor (German National Library of Economics, ZBW)
مصطلحات موضوعية: ddc:330, D44, C91, Auctions, Experiment, Motivated Beliefs
الوصف: In auctions bidders are usually assumed to have rational expectations with regards to their winning probability. However, experimental and empirical evidence suggests that agent's expectations depend on direct utility stemming from expectations, resulting in optimism or pessimism. Optimism increases ex ante savoring, while pessimism leads to less disappointment ex post. Hence, optimal expectations depend on the time left until the uncertainty is resolved, i.e. the time one can savor ex ante by being (too) optimistic. Applying the decision theory model of Gollier and Muermann (2010) to first price auctions, I show that by decreasing the time between bids and revelation of results, the auctioneer can induce bidders to forego optimism, leading to more aggressive bids and thereby higher revenues for the auctioneer. Finally I test these predictions experimentally, finding no evidence for my theoretical predictions.
نوع الوثيقة: report
اللغة: English
العلاقة: Series: ZEW Discussion Papers; No. 22-062; gbv-ppn:1826834214; http://hdl.handle.net/10419/266652Test; RePEc:zbw:zewdip:22062
الإتاحة: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/266652Test
حقوق: http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/NutzungsbedingungenTest
رقم الانضمام: edsbas.6CC53BA
قاعدة البيانات: BASE