دورية أكاديمية
Sea-level rise in Venice: historic and future trends (review article)
| العنوان: | Sea-level rise in Venice: historic and future trends (review article) |
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| المؤلفون: | D. Zanchettin, S. Bruni, F. Raicich, P. Lionello, F. Adloff, A. Androsov, F. Antonioli, V. Artale, E. Carminati, C. Ferrarin, V. Fofonova, R. J. Nicholls, S. Rubinetti, A. Rubino, G. Sannino, G. Spada, R. Thiéblemont, M. Tsimplis, G. Umgiesser, S. Vignudelli, G. Wöppelmann, S. Zerbini |
| المصدر: | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Vol 21, Pp 2643-2678 (2021) |
| بيانات النشر: | Copernicus Publications European Geosciences Union HAL CCSD Copernicus Publ. / European Geosciences Union |
| سنة النشر: | 2021 |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, TD1-1066, Geography. Anthropology. Recreation, Environmental sciences, GE1-350, Geology, QE1-996.5, geo, archeo |
| الوصف: | The city of Venice and the surrounding lagoonal ecosystem are highly vulnerable to variations in relative sea level. In the past ∼150 years, this was characterized by an average rate of relative sea-level rise of about 2.5 mm/year resulting from the combined contributions of vertical land movement and sea-level rise. This literature review reassesses and synthesizes the progress achieved in quantification, understanding and prediction of the individual contributions to local relative sea level, with a focus on the most recent studies. Subsidence contributed to about half of the historical relative sea-level rise in Venice. The current best estimate of the average rate of sea-level rise during the observational period from 1872 to 2019 based on tide-gauge data after removal of subsidence effects is 1.23 ± 0.13 mm/year. A higher – but more uncertain – rate of sea-level rise is observed for more recent years. Between 1993 and 2019, an average change of about + 2.76 ± 1.75 mm/year is estimated from tide-gauge data after removal of subsidence. Unfortunately, satellite altimetry does not provide reliable sea-level data within the Venice Lagoon. Local sea-level changes in Venice closely depend on sea-level variations in the Adriatic Sea, which in turn are linked to sea-level variations in the Mediterranean Sea. Water mass exchange through the Strait of Gibraltar and its drivers currently constitute a source of substantial uncertainty for estimating future deviations of the Mediterranean mean sea-level trend from the global-mean value. Regional atmospheric and oceanic processes will likely contribute significant interannual and interdecadal future variability in Venetian sea level with a magnitude comparable to that observed in the past. On the basis of regional projections of sea-level rise and an understanding of the local and regional processes affecting relative sea-level trends in Venice, the likely range of atmospherically corrected relative sea-level rise in Venice by 2100 ranges between 32 and 62 cm for the . |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article in journal/newspaper |
| اللغة: | English |
| تدمد: | 1561-8633 1684-9981 |
| العلاقة: | https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/2643/2021/nhess-21-2643-2021.pdfTest; https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2643-2021Test |
| DOI: | 10.5194/nhess-21-2643-2021 |
| الإتاحة: | https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2643-2021Test https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/2643/2021/nhess-21-2643-2021.pdfTest |
| حقوق: | undefined |
| رقم الانضمام: | edsbas.9C721602 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | BASE |
Full Text Finder | تدمد: | 15618633 16849981 |
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| DOI: | 10.5194/nhess-21-2643-2021 |