مورد إلكتروني

An Improved Divergence Information Criterion for the Determination of the Order of an AR Process

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: An Improved Divergence Information Criterion for the Determination of the Order of an AR Process
بيانات النشر: University of Lund University of Cyprus, Cyprus University of Cyprus, Cyprus Taylor & Francis 2010
تفاصيل مُضافة: Mantalos, Panagiotis
Mattheou, K.
Karagrigoriou, A.
نوع الوثيقة: Electronic Resource
مستخلص: In this article we propose a modification of the recently introduced divergence information criterion (DIC, Mattheou et al., 2009) for the determination of the order of an autoregressive process and show that it is an asymptotically unbiased estimator of the expected overall discrepancy, a nonnegative quantity that measures the distance between the true unknown model and a fitted approximating model. Further, we use Monte Carlo methods and various data generating processes for small, medium, and large sample sizes in order to explore the capabilities of the new criterion in selecting the optimal order in autoregressive processes and in general in a time series context. The new criterion shows remarkably good results by choosing the correct model more frequently than traditional information criteria.
مصطلحات الفهرس: AR process, Information criterion, Measure of divergence, Model selection, 62M10, 62F07, 91B84, 94A15, Probability Theory and Statistics, Sannolikhetsteori och statistik, Article in journal, info:eu-repo/semantics/article, text
DOI: 10.1080.03610911003650391
URL: http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-50573Test
Communications in statistics. Simulation and computation, 0361-0918, 2010, 39:5, s. 865-879
الإتاحة: Open access content. Open access content
info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess
ملاحظة: English
أرقام أخرى: UPE oai:DiVA.org:lnu-50573
doi:10.1080/03610911003650391
ISI:000277568500001
Scopus 2-s2.0-77952391452
1233513256
المصدر المساهم: UPPSALA UNIV LIBR
From OAIster®, provided by the OCLC Cooperative.
رقم الانضمام: edsoai.on1233513256
قاعدة البيانات: OAIster