دورية أكاديمية

Finite Sample Analysis of Misspecification in Simultaneous Equation Models.

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Finite Sample Analysis of Misspecification in Simultaneous Equation Models.
المؤلفون: Hale, C., Mariano, R. S., Ramage, J. G.
المصدر: Journal of the American Statistical Association; Jun80, Vol. 75 Issue 370, p418, 10p
مصطلحات موضوعية: STATISTICAL sampling, DISTRIBUTION (Probability theory), SIMULTANEOUS equations, ASYMPTOTIC expansions, ESTIMATION theory, ASYMPTOTIC theory in estimation theory, MATHEMATICAL statistics, MATHEMATICAL models, EQUATIONS
مستخلص: This article examines the effects of misspecification on the exact sampling distributions of the k-class estimators of a single equation in a simultaneous equations model. The analysis focuses on the effects of excluding relevant exogenous variables. The misspecification may occur in either the estimated equation itself or in the other equations in the system. Exact expressions and large-concentration parameter asymptotic expansions are stated and analyzed for the bias and mean squared error (MSE) of the k-class estimators in the case of two included endogenous variables. The results in the article suggest that ordinary least squares (OLS) will often be preferable to two-stage least squares (2SLS) when misspecification is a serious possibility; the relative insensitivity of OLS to specification error outweighs its disadvantage in terms of bias and MSE in the correctly specified case. Further, when relevant exogenous variables are omitted from the estimated equation but not from the system, the entire k class, for nonstochastic k (0 is less than or equal to k is less than or equal to 1), is dominated in terms of asymptotic MSE by either OLS or 2SLS. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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قاعدة البيانات: Complementary Index
الوصف
تدمد:01621459
DOI:10.1080/01621459.1980.10477488