Integrated Transformer Health Estimation Methodology Based on Markov Chains and Evidential Reasoning

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Integrated Transformer Health Estimation Methodology Based on Markov Chains and Evidential Reasoning
المؤلفون: Srdjan Milosavljevic, Aleksandar Janjic
المصدر: Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Vol 2020 (2020)
بيانات النشر: Hindawi, 2020.
سنة النشر: 2020
مصطلحات موضوعية: Article Subject, Computer science, 020209 energy, General Mathematics, Population, 02 engineering and technology, computer.software_genre, 01 natural sciences, law.invention, law, 0103 physical sciences, QA1-939, 0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering, education, Transformer, 010302 applied physics, education.field_of_study, Markov chain, Corrective maintenance, General Engineering, Evidential reasoning approach, Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General), Data mining, TA1-2040, computer, Mathematics
الوصف: Due to the large number of power transformers (ETs) in the distribution system, there is a need for a relatively simple representation of the status of each unit in order to more easily determine where and how to allocate the budget for preventive and corrective maintenance. In recent years, the concept of the transformer health index (HI) as an integral part of resource management was adopted for the condition assessment and ranking of ETs. HI algorithms take different forms and can be determined based on a large number of specific parameters. However, the main problem in HI methodology or any modern diagnostic technique is the existence of regular measurements and inspections and accurate test results. The paper proposes a solution in the form of the upgraded HI and the novel methodology for ET ranking including the value of available information to describe ET current state. The confidence to the measurement results is calculated using evidential reasoning (ER) algorithm based on Dempster–Shafer theory. The contribution to the ER methodology is the calculation of the initial degrees of belief using Markov chains. The aging process of an ET and transition probabilities from state to state are modelled using the statistical data for the population of 300 ETs and 20 years monitoring data. The proposed methodology is tested on the real data for 110/35 kV transformer, and in the second case, compared to the sample of 30 110/x kV transformers with traditional HI calculation.
وصف الملف: text/xhtml
اللغة: English
تدمد: 1024-123X
DOI: 10.1155/2020/7291749
الوصول الحر: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::e4b906307477ac2a8042209d3d03499fTest
حقوق: OPEN
رقم الانضمام: edsair.doi.dedup.....e4b906307477ac2a8042209d3d03499f
قاعدة البيانات: OpenAIRE
الوصف
تدمد:1024123X
DOI:10.1155/2020/7291749