دورية أكاديمية

Quantifying Water Scarcity in Northern China Within the Context of Climatic and Societal Changes and South-to-North Water Diversion

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Quantifying Water Scarcity in Northern China Within the Context of Climatic and Societal Changes and South-to-North Water Diversion
المؤلفون: Yin, Yuanyuan, Wang, Lei, Wang, Zhongjing, Tang, Qiuhong, Piao, Shilong, Chen, Deliang, Xia, Jun, Conradt, Tobias, Liu, Junguo, Wada, Yoshihide, Cai, Ximing, Xie, Zhenghui, Duan, Qingyun, Li, Xiuping, Zhou, Jing, Zhang, Jianyun
المصدر: Earth's future 8 (2020), Nr. 8
بيانات النشر: Wiley-Blackwell
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
سنة النشر: 2020
مصطلحات موضوعية: agricultural production, climate change, economic conditions, economic development, quantitative analysis, water supply, Beijing [China], China, envir, scipo
الوقت: 550
الوصف: With the increasing pressure from population growth and economic development, northern China (NC) faces a grand challenge of water scarcity, which can be further exacerbated by climatic and societal changes. The South-to-North Water Diversion (SNWD) project is designed to mitigate the water scarcity in NC. However, few studies have quantified the impact of the SNWD on water scarcity within the context of climatic and societal changes and its potential effects on economic and agricultural food in the region. We used water supply stress index (WaSSI) to quantify water scarcity within the context of environmental change in NC and developed a method to estimate the economic and agricultural impacts of the SNWD. Focuses were put on alleviating the water supply shortage and economic and agricultural benefits for the water-receiving NC. We find that societal changes, especially economic growth, are the major contributors to water scarcity in NC during 2009–2099. To completely mitigate the water scarcity of NC, at least an additional water supply of 13 billion m3/year (comparable to the annual diversion water by SNWD Central Route) will be necessary. Although SNWD alone cannot provide the full solution to NC's water shortage in next few decades, it can significantly alleviate the water supply stress in NC (particularly Beijing), considerably increasing the agricultural production (more than 115 Tcal/year) and bringing economic benefits (more than 51 billion RMB/year) through supplying industrial and domestic water use. Additionally, the transfer project could have impacts on the ecological environment in the exporting regions. ©2020. The Authors. ; publishedVersion
نوع الوثيقة: article in journal/newspaper
اللغة: English
العلاقة: https://oa.tib.eu/renate/handle/123456789/6948Test
الإتاحة: https://oa.tib.eu/renate/handle/123456789/6948Test
حقوق: undefined
رقم الانضمام: edsbas.C6C2EC2E
قاعدة البيانات: BASE