رسالة جامعية

Incerteza nos modelos de distribuição de espécies

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Incerteza nos modelos de distribuição de espécies
العنوان البديل: Uncertainty in species distribution models
المؤلفون: Tessarolo, Geiziane
مرشدي الرسالة: Muñoz, Joaquin Hortal, Rangel, Thiago Fernando
المصدر: Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFGUniversidade Federal de GoiásUFG.
حالة النشر: publishedVersion
بيانات النشر: Universidade Federal de Goiás; Programa de Pós-graduação em Ecologia e Evolução (ICB); UFG; Brasil; Instituto de Ciências Biológicas - ICB (RG), 2014.
سنة النشر: 2014
المجموعة: IBICT Brazilian ETDs
Original Material: TESSAROLO, Geiziane. Incerteza nos modelos de distribuição de espécies. 2014. 151 f. Tese (Doutorado em Ecologia e Evolução) - Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, 2014.
مصطلحات موضوعية: Características das espécies, Cobertura ambiental, Desenho amostral, Incerteza, Modelos de distribuição de espécies, Species traits, Environmental Completeness, Survey design, Uncertainty, Species distribution models, CIENCIAS BIOLOGICAS::ECOLOGIA
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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - CAPES
Aim Species Distribution Models (SDM) can be used to predict the location of unknown populations from known species occurrences. It follows that how the data used to calibrate the models are collected can have a great impact on prediction success. We evaluated the influence of different survey designs and their interaction with the modelling technique on SDM performance. Location Iberian Peninsula Methods We examine how data recorded using seven alternative survey designs (random, systematic, environmentally stratified by class and environmentally stratified using p-median, biased due to accessibility, biased by human density aggregation and biased towards protected areas) could affect SDM predictions generated with nine modelling techniques (BIOCLIM, Gower distance, Mahalanobis distance, Euclidean distance, GLM, MaxEnt, ENFA and Random Forest). We also study how sample size, species’ characteristics and modelling technique affected SDM predictive ability, using six evaluation metrics. Results Survey design has a small effect on prediction success. Characteristics of species’ ranges rank highest among the factors affecting SDM results: the species with lower relative occurrence area (ROA) are predicted better. Model predictions are also improved when sample size is large. Main conclusions The species modelled – particularly the extent of its distribution – are the largest source of influence over SDM results. The environmental coverage of the surveys is more important than the spatial structure of the calibration data. Therefore, climatic biases in the data should be identified to avoid erroneous conclusions about the geographic patterns of species distributions.
Original Identifier: oai:repositorio.bc.ufg.br:tede/3615
نوع الوثيقة: doctoralThesis
وصف الملف: application/pdf
اللغة: Portuguese
العلاقة: -5361682850774351271; 600; -3872772117827373404; 3263499605295365002; 2075167498588264571
الإتاحة: http://repositorio.bc.ufg.br/tede/handle/tede/3615Test
حقوق: info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
URL: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0Test/
رقم الانضمام: edsndl.IBICT.oai.repositorio.bc.ufg.br.tede.3615
قاعدة البيانات: Networked Digital Library of Theses & Dissertations