التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
| العنوان: |
Comparing Air Dispersion Model Predictions with Measured Concentrations of VOCs in Urban Communities. |
| المؤلفون: |
Pratt, Gregory C.1 gregory.pratt@pca.state.mn.us, Chun Yi Wu, Gregory C.1, Bock, Don1, Adgate, John L.2, Ramachandran, Gurumurthy2, Stock, Thomas H.3, Morandi, Maira3, Sexton, Ken2,4 |
| المصدر: |
Environmental Science & Technology. 4/1/2004, Vol. 38 Issue 7, p1949-1959. 11p. |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: |
*AIR pollution, URBAN community development, VOLATILE organic compounds, ORGANIC compounds, AUTOMOBILE emissions, GAUSSIAN processes |
| مستخلص: |
Air concentrations of nine volatile organic compounds were measured over 48-h periods at 23 locations in three communities in the Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area. Concentrations at the same times and locations were modeled using a standard regulatory air dispersion model (ISCST3). The goal of the study was to evaluate model performance by comparing predictions with measurements using linear regression and estimates of bias. The modeling, done with mobile and area source emissions resolved to the census tract level and characterized as model area sources, represents an improvement over large-scale airtoxics modeling analyses done to date. Despite the resolved spatial scale, the model did not fully capture the spatial resolution in concentrations in an area with a sharp gradient in emissions. In a census tract with a major highway at one end of the tract (i.e., uneven distribution of emissions within the tract), model predictions at the opposite end of the tract overestimated measured concentrations. This shortcoming was seen for pollutants emitted mainly by mobile sources (benzene, ethyl benzene, toluene, and xylenes). We suggest that major highways would be better characterized as line sources. The model also failed to fully capture the temporal variability in concentrations, which was expected since the emissions inventory comprised annual average values. Based on our evaluation metrics, model performance was best for pollutants emitted mainly from mobile sources and poorest for pollutants emitted mainly from area sources. Important sources of error appeared to be the source characterization (especially location) and emissions quantification. We expect that enhancements in the emissions inventory would give the greatest improvement in results. As anticipated for a Gaussian plume model, performance was dramatically better when [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
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| قاعدة البيانات: |
Business Source Index |
