التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: |
Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations. |
المؤلفون: |
Sherratt, Katharine, Gruson, Hugo, Grah, Rok, Johnson, Helen, Niehus, Rene, Prasse, Bastian, Sandmann, Frank, Deuschel, Jannik, Wolffram, Daniel, Abbott, Sam, Ullrich, Alexander, Gibson, Graham, Ray, Evan L, Reich, Nicholas G, Sheldon, Daniel, Wang, Yijin, Wattanachit, Nutcha, Wang, Lijing, Trnka, Jan, Obozinski, Guillaume, Sun, Tao, Thanou, Dorina, Pottier, Loic, Krymova, Ekaterina, Meinke, Jan H, Barbarossa, Maria Vittoria, Leithauser, Neele, Mohring, Jan, Schneider, Johanna, Wlazlo, Jaroslaw, Fuhrmann, Jan, Lange, Berit, Rodiah, Isti, Baccam, Prasith, Gurung, Heidi, Stage, Steven, Suchoski, Bradley, Budzinski, Jozef, Walraven, Robert, Villanueva, Inmaculada, Tucek, Vit, Smid, Martin, Zajicek, Milan, Perez Alvarez, Cesar, Reina, Borja, Bosse, Nikos I, Meakin, Sophie R, Castro, Lauren, Fairchild, Geoffrey, Michaud, Isaac, Osthus, Dave, Alaimo Di Loro, Pierfrancesco, Maruotti, Antonello, Eclerova, Veronika, Kraus, Andrea, Kraus, David, Pribylova, Lenka, Dimitris, Bertsimas, Li, Michael Lingzhi, Saksham, Soni, Dehning, Jonas, Mohr, Sebastian, Priesemann, Viola, Redlarski, Grzegorz, Bejar, Benjamin, Ardenghi, Giovanni, Parolini, Nicola, Ziarelli, Giovanni, Bock, Wolfgang, Heyder, Stefan, Hotz, Thomas, Singh, David E, Guzman-Merino, Miguel, Aznarte, Jose L, Morina, David, Alonso, Sergio, Alvarez, Enric, Lopez, Daniel, Prats, Clara, Burgard, Jan Pablo, Rodloff, Arne, Zimmermann, Tom, Kuhlmann, Alexander, Zibert, Janez, Pennoni, Fulvia, Divino, Fabio, Catala, Marti, Lovison, Gianfranco, Giudici, Paolo, Tarantino, Barbara, Bartolucci, Francesco, Jona Lasinio, Giovanna, Mingione, Marco, Farcomeni, Alessio, Srivastava, Ajitesh, Montero-Manso, Pablo, Adiga, Aniruddha, Hurt, Benjamin, Lewis, Bryan, Marathe, Madhav, Porebski, Przemyslaw, Venkatramanan, Srinivasan, Bartczuk, Rafal P, Dreger, Filip, Gambin, Anna, Gogolewski, Krzysztof, Gruziel-Slomka, Magdalena, Krupa, Bartosz, Moszyński, Antoni, Niedzielewski, Karol, Nowosielski, Jedrzej, Radwan, Maciej, Rakowski, Franciszek, Semeniuk, Marcin, Szczurek, Ewa, Zielinski, Jakub, Kisielewski, Jan, Pabjan, Barbara, Holger, Kirsten, Kheifetz, Yuri, Scholz, Markus, Przemyslaw, Biecek, Bodych, Marcin, Filinski, Maciej, Idzikowski, Radoslaw, Krueger, Tyll, Ozanski, Tomasz, Bracher, Johannes, Funk, Sebastian |
المصدر: |
Elife ; ISSN:2050-084X ; Volume:12 |
بيانات النشر: |
eLife Sciences Publications, Ltd |
سنة النشر: |
2023 |
المجموعة: |
PubMed Central (PMC) |
مصطلحات موضوعية: |
COVID-19, Europe, ensemble, epidemiology, forecast, global health, modelling, none, prediction |
الوصف: |
Short-term forecasts of infectious disease burden can contribute to situational awareness and aid capacity planning. Based on best practice in other fields and recent insights in infectious disease epidemiology, one can maximise the predictive performance of such forecasts if multiple models are combined into an ensemble. Here, we report on the performance of ensembles in predicting COVID-19 cases and deaths across Europe between 08 March 2021 and 07 March 2022. |
نوع الوثيقة: |
article in journal/newspaper |
اللغة: |
English |
العلاقة: |
https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.81916Test; https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37083521Test; https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10238088Test/ |
DOI: |
10.7554/eLife.81916 |
الإتاحة: |
https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.81916Test https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37083521Test https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10238088Test/ |
رقم الانضمام: |
edsbas.6B0620B9 |
قاعدة البيانات: |
BASE |