Using survey data of inflation expectations in the estimation of learning and rational expectations models

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Using survey data of inflation expectations in the estimation of learning and rational expectations models
المؤلفون: Ormeño, Arturo, Molnár, Krisztina
بيانات النشر: Norwegian School of Economics. Department of Economics
سنة النشر: 2014
المجموعة: NHH Brage Norges Handelshøyskole
مصطلحات موضوعية: VDP::Samfunnsvitenskap: 200::Økonomi: 210::Samfunnsøkonomi: 212, survey data, learning, rational expectations, inflation expectations, Bayesian econometrics, C611, D84, E30, E52
الوصف: Does survey data contain useful information for estimating macroeconomic models? We address this question by using survey data of inflation expectations to estimate the New Keynesian model by Smets and Wouters (2007) and compare its performance under rational expectations and adaptive learning. The survey information serves as an additional moment restriction and helps us to determine the learning agents’ forecasting model for inflation. Adaptive learning fares similarly to rational expectations in fitting macro data, but clearly outperforms rational expectations in fitting macro and survey data simultaneously. In other words survey data contains additional information that is not present in the macro data alone.
نوع الوثيقة: report
وصف الملف: application/pdf
اللغة: English
تدمد: 0804-6824
العلاقة: Discussion paper;20/2014; urn:issn:0804-6824; http://hdl.handle.net/11250/196296Test
الإتاحة: http://hdl.handle.net/11250/196296Test
رقم الانضمام: edsbas.B72D81D6
قاعدة البيانات: BASE