دورية أكاديمية

The canary in the city: indicator groups as predictors of local rent increases

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: The canary in the city: indicator groups as predictors of local rent increases
المؤلفون: Steentoft, Aike, Poorthuis, Ate, Lee, Bu-Sung, Schläpfer, Markus
المصدر: EPJ Data Science, 7
بيانات النشر: SpringerOpen
سنة النشر: 2018
المجموعة: ETH Zürich Research Collection
مصطلحات موضوعية: Indicator group, Social sensing, LBSN, Housing prices
الوصف: As cities grow, certain neighborhoods experience a particularly high demand for housing, resulting in escalating rents. Despite far-reaching socioeconomic consequences, it remains difficult to predict when and where urban neighborhoods will face such changes. To tackle this challenge, we adapt the concept of ‘bioindicators’, borrowed from ecology, to the urban context. The objective is to use an ‘indicator group’ of people to assess the quality of a complex environment and its changes over time. Specifically, we analyze 92 million geolocated Twitter records across five US cities, allowing us to derive socio-economic user profiles based on individual movement patterns. As a proof-of-concept, we define users with a ‘high-income-profile’ as an indicator group and show that their visitation patterns are a suitable indicator for expected future rent increases in different neighborhoods. The concept of indicator groups highlights the potential of closely monitoring only a specific subset of the population, rather than the population as a whole. If the indicator group is defined appropriately for the phenomenon of interest, this approach can yield early predictions while simultaneously reducing the amount of data that needs to be collected and analyzed. ; ISSN:2193-1127
نوع الوثيقة: article in journal/newspaper
وصف الملف: application/application/pdf
اللغة: English
العلاقة: info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/wos/000438126900001; http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/274161Test
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000274161
الإتاحة: https://doi.org/20.500.11850/274161Test
https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000274161Test
https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-018-0151-yTest
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/274161Test
حقوق: info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess ; http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0Test/ ; Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
رقم الانضمام: edsbas.CB3EC01B
قاعدة البيانات: BASE