دورية أكاديمية

Trade-offs between individual and ensemble forecasts of an emerging infectious disease

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Trade-offs between individual and ensemble forecasts of an emerging infectious disease
المؤلفون: Rachel J. Oidtman, Elisa Omodei, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Carlos A. Castañeda-Orjuela, Erica Cruz-Rivera, Sandra Misnaza-Castrillón, Myriam Patricia Cifuentes, Luz Emilse Rincon, Viviana Cañon, Pedro de Alarcon, Guido España, John H. Huber, Sarah C. Hill, Christopher M. Barker, Michael A. Johansson, Carrie A. Manore, Robert C. Reiner, Jr., Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer, Amir S. Siraj, Enrique Frias-Martinez, Manuel García-Herranz, T. Alex Perkins
المصدر: Nature Communications, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2021)
بيانات النشر: Nature Portfolio, 2021.
سنة النشر: 2021
المجموعة: LCC:Science
مصطلحات موضوعية: Science
الوصف: Newly emerged pathogens are inherently difficult to forecast, due to many unknowns about their biology early in an epidemic. Here, the authors assess forecasts of a suite of models during the Zika epidemic in Colombia, finding that the models that performed best changed over the course of the epidemic.
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: electronic resource
اللغة: English
تدمد: 2041-1723
العلاقة: https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Test
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-25695-0
الوصول الحر: https://doaj.org/article/c817814baca3456fbcbefb36156a6489Test
رقم الانضمام: edsdoj.817814baca3456fbcbefb36156a6489
قاعدة البيانات: Directory of Open Access Journals
الوصف
تدمد:20411723
DOI:10.1038/s41467-021-25695-0